The GTA's top seller's markets - according to Months of Inventory

The GTA’s top seller’s markets – according to Months of Inventory

In Canada by TheRedPin Team4 Comments

The GTA's top seller's markets - according to Months of Inventory

While numerous lawn signs reading “over asking” or “sold in 3 days” may nudge you into thinking you’re in the midst of a seller’s market – technically speaking, there’s a better way to know.

Months of inventory, or MOI for short, is deemed as the most accurate way to pin-point whether a market is in favour of sellers or buyers.

Found by comparing home sales versus how many listings are currently on the market, MOI essentially asks the question: How long would it take for every single property to get snapped up by buyers if no new homes were put up for sale?

The basic rule of thumb around months of inventory is anything below four months is considered well in seller’s market territory, while anything above six is a sure-sign of a buyer’s market.

Months of inventory between five and six months signals balanced conditions.

So where does Toronto and its surrounding suburbs rank in all this? According to the latest figures for 2016, months of inventory sits at a record low 1.6, meaning it would take less than two months for all currently listed homes to sell across the GTA.

That’s on the extreme end of the seller’s market range.

Based on the latest numbers, Ajax, Whitby and Oshawa were home to the strongest seller’s markets, outpacing Toronto. The same cities also saw the most over asking sales in a previous analysis from TheRedPin.

A big reason why these suburbs are hot comes down to buyers who are on the hunt for single-family homes being pushed out of pricier Toronto and York neighbourhoods and as a result, flocking further east toward Durham. Plus with the Highway 407 expansion and GO Train infrastructure, the area is ideal for commuters.

The dearth of housing inventory is a theme that persists from city-to-town in the GTA however, as last month alone, the number of active listings on the market plummeted by thirty per cent while on the inverse, sales actually climbed by ten percent.

Across the GTA, not one city saw months of inventory above four – meaning every major area sat within seller’s market territory. Brock and King City saw the highest months of inventory at 3.8 and 3.4 per cent respectively.

Low months of inventory means supply is low, demand is high and prices are climbing upwards.

Below we’ve pin-pointed the cities in the GTA where MOI is lowest (for family houses and condos combined) and seller’s market conditions are out in full-force.

Whitby

MOI: 0.7
Median Price 2016: $582,500
YOY Price Increase: 26.6%

Ajax

MOI: 0.7
Median Price May 2016: $570,000
YOY Price Increase: 17.5%

Oshawa

MOI: 0.7
Median Price May 2016: $425,000
YOY Price Increase: 25%

Newmarket

MOI: 0.8
Median Price May 2016: $731,000
YOY Price Increase: 25%

Clarington

MOI: 0.9
Median Price May 2016: $430,000
YOY Price Increase: 14.9%

Pickering

MOI: 1.0
Median Price May 2016: $580,550
YOY Price Increase: 17.3%

Aurora

MOI: 1.1
Median Price May 2016: $853,000
YOY Price Increase: 26.9%

Brampton

MOI: 1.1
Median Price May 2016: $560,000
YOY Price Increase: 19.1%

Milton

MOI: 1.1
Median Price May 2016: $608,643
YOY Price Increase: 16.2%


Here is months of inventory for other major GTA cities:

Markham

MOI: 1.4
Median Price May 2016: $928,000
YOY Price Increase: 20.5%

Richmond Hill

MOI: 1.5
Median Price May 2016: $996,500
YOY Price Increase: 23.1%

Vaughan

MOI: 1.5
Median Price May 2016: $882,000
YOY Price Increase: 20.8%

Mississauga

MOI: 1.6
Median Price May 2016: $601,800
YOY Price Increase: 15.7%

Toronto

MOI: 1.9
Median Price May 2016: $595,000
YOY Price Increase: 7.8%

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Comments

  1. Erwin Mertens

    We are in the market for a 2 story house or townhouse in “Greek Town”. What do you have and what are the prices?

    1. Author
      TheRedPin

      Hi Erwin,

      Hope you had a great long weekend and congratulations on taking the leap into the market. To view all MLS listings in and around Greek Town, simply click here.

      Over the past year, the average sold price of a 2 storey freehold house around the general Greek Town and Danforth area was $823,461.

      One of our insider agents will be reaching out to you soon to provide no obligation advice and information.

      Best,

      TheRedPin

    1. TheRedPin

      Hi Dan,

      Months of Inventory is just one of the many statistics the Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) published in their monthly market watch reports.

      All market watch reports published since 1996 can be found here. You can view months of inventory for each city in the column that says Mos. Inv. (Trend).

      If you have any more questions about housing stats, don’t hesitate to reach out again at inquiry@theredpin.com or by calling 647-827-1075.

      Best,

      TheRedPin

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